TYRN SEA v. 1.6 BetaBloom & mucilage preconditions · Calabrian coast

The sea today and over the next 5 days

Forecast of the physical preconditions for algal blooms and mucilage along the Calabrian coast, updated several times a day from the satellite and model data of the Copernicus Marine Service.

Data: Sun 20/09/2026 · 16:04 Horizon: up to 5 days
Index levels: Low Moderate High Very high

Preconditions map — today

Each dot is a stretch of sea, split in half: the left half shows today's bloom preconditions, the right half today's mucilage ones. Click a dot for today's and tomorrow's values.

Detail by zone

Forecast trend of the two indices and daily traffic light.

Tirreno Nord

79 57
Algal bloom
Sun 20/09 79
Mon 21/09 79
Tue 22/09 81
Wed 23/09 53
Thu 24/09 55
Mucilage
Sun 20/09 57
Mon 21/09 57
Tue 22/09 58
Wed 23/09 36
Thu 24/09 35

Tirreno Sud

68 49
Algal bloom
Sun 20/09 78
Mon 21/09 68
Tue 22/09 72
Wed 23/09 67
Thu 24/09 72
Mucilage
Sun 20/09 56
Mon 21/09 49
Tue 22/09 51
Wed 23/09 46
Thu 24/09 47

Estremo Sud

39 17
Algal bloom
Sun 20/09 46
Mon 21/09 39
Tue 22/09 41
Wed 23/09 14
Thu 24/09 1
Mucilage
Sun 20/09 21
Mon 21/09 17
Tue 22/09 18
Wed 23/09 2
Thu 24/09 0

Ionio Sud

32 10
Algal bloom
Sun 20/09 27
Mon 21/09 32
Tue 22/09 22
Wed 23/09 1
Thu 24/09 0
Mucilage
Sun 20/09 7
Mon 21/09 10
Tue 22/09 6
Wed 23/09 0
Thu 24/09 0

Ionio Nord

16 6
Algal bloom
Sun 20/09 17
Mon 21/09 16
Tue 22/09 10
Wed 23/09 2
Thu 24/09 3
Mucilage
Sun 20/09 6
Mon 21/09 6
Tue 22/09 3
Wed 23/09 0
Thu 24/09 0

Focus Amantea-Lamezia

70 51
Algal bloom
Sun 20/09 74
Mon 21/09 70
Tue 22/09 73
Wed 23/09 44
Thu 24/09 61
Mucilage
Sun 20/09 53
Mon 21/09 51
Tue 22/09 52
Wed 23/09 30
Thu 24/09 37

Each number is a 0–100 index computed from the physical preconditions of a bloom: sea temperature, stratification (calm sea) and marine heatwaves. The bloom measures how favourable these conditions are; the mucilage combines the bloom with the prolonged stagnation of the sea. Details on the How it works page.

How to read the two indices

Both indices range from 0 to 100 and share the same threshold scale: the higher the value, the more favourable the forecast conditions, for both bloom and mucilage.

Index Level Meaning
0–24 Low Conditions within the seasonal norm: preconditions essentially absent for both indices.
25–49 Moderate One or two preconditions already in place, but not enough to trigger a bloom or mucilage.
50–74 High Overall favourable conditions: algal blooms possible and, if the sea stays calm for a while, mucilage too.
75–100 Very high Heat, prolonged stagnation and marine heatwave all present together: preconditions fully favourable for both bloom and mucilage.