TYRN SEA v. 1.6 BetaBloom & mucilage preconditions · Calabrian coast

The sea today and over the next 5 days

Forecast of the physical preconditions for algal blooms and mucilage along the Calabrian coast, updated several times a day from the satellite and model data of the Copernicus Marine Service.

Data: Mon 21/09/2026 · 20:01 Horizon: up to 5 days
Index levels: Low Moderate High Very high

Preconditions map — today

Each dot is a stretch of sea, split in half: the left half shows today's bloom preconditions, the right half today's mucilage ones. Click a dot for today's and tomorrow's values.

Detail by zone

Forecast trend of the two indices and daily traffic light.

Tirreno Nord

87 62
Algal bloom
Mon 21/09 78
Tue 22/09 87
Wed 23/09 62
Thu 24/09 58
Fri 25/09 58
Mucilage
Mon 21/09 56
Tue 22/09 62
Wed 23/09 42
Thu 24/09 37
Fri 25/09 36

Tirreno Sud

74 52
Algal bloom
Mon 21/09 70
Tue 22/09 74
Wed 23/09 63
Thu 24/09 63
Fri 25/09 75
Mucilage
Mon 21/09 51
Tue 22/09 52
Wed 23/09 42
Thu 24/09 41
Fri 25/09 48

Estremo Sud

39 16
Algal bloom
Mon 21/09 38
Tue 22/09 39
Wed 23/09 16
Thu 24/09 2
Fri 25/09 0
Mucilage
Mon 21/09 16
Tue 22/09 16
Wed 23/09 3
Thu 24/09 0
Fri 25/09 0

Ionio Sud

29 9
Algal bloom
Mon 21/09 33
Tue 22/09 29
Wed 23/09 2
Thu 24/09 0
Fri 25/09 6
Mucilage
Mon 21/09 11
Tue 22/09 9
Wed 23/09 0
Thu 24/09 0
Fri 25/09 0

Ionio Nord

9 3
Algal bloom
Mon 21/09 20
Tue 22/09 9
Wed 23/09 1
Thu 24/09 2
Fri 25/09 3
Mucilage
Mon 21/09 7
Tue 22/09 3
Wed 23/09 0
Thu 24/09 0
Fri 25/09 0

Focus Amantea-Lamezia

81 58
Algal bloom
Mon 21/09 73
Tue 22/09 81
Wed 23/09 45
Thu 24/09 56
Fri 25/09 55
Mucilage
Mon 21/09 53
Tue 22/09 58
Wed 23/09 30
Thu 24/09 34
Fri 25/09 32

Each number is a 0–100 index computed from the physical preconditions of a bloom: sea temperature, stratification (calm sea) and marine heatwaves. The bloom measures how favourable these conditions are; the mucilage combines the bloom with the prolonged stagnation of the sea. Details on the How it works page.

How to read the two indices

Both indices range from 0 to 100 and share the same threshold scale: the higher the value, the more favourable the forecast conditions, for both bloom and mucilage.

Index Level Meaning
0–24 Low Conditions within the seasonal norm: preconditions essentially absent for both indices.
25–49 Moderate One or two preconditions already in place, but not enough to trigger a bloom or mucilage.
50–74 High Overall favourable conditions: algal blooms possible and, if the sea stays calm for a while, mucilage too.
75–100 Very high Heat, prolonged stagnation and marine heatwave all present together: preconditions fully favourable for both bloom and mucilage.